#coding=utf8 
''''' 
Created on 2017-8-5 
里面的代碼許多地方可以精簡，但為了百分百還原公式，就沒有精簡了。 
@author: adzhua 
''' 
 
import numpy as np 
 
class HMM(object): 
  def __init__(self, A, B, pi): 
    ''''' 
    A: 狀態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)移概率矩陣 
    B: 輸出觀察概率矩陣 
    pi: 初始化狀態(tài)向量 
    ''' 
    self.A = np.array(A) 
    self.B = np.array(B) 
    self.pi = np.array(pi) 
    self.N = self.A.shape[0]  # 總共狀態(tài)個(gè)數(shù) 
    self.M = self.B.shape[1]  # 總共觀察值個(gè)數(shù)   
    
   
  # 輸出HMM的參數(shù)信息 
  def printHMM(self): 
    print ("==================================================") 
    print ("HMM content: N =",self.N,",M =",self.M) 
    for i in range(self.N): 
      if i==0: 
        print ("hmm.A ",self.A[i,:]," hmm.B ",self.B[i,:]) 
      else: 
        print ("   ",self.A[i,:],"    ",self.B[i,:]) 
    print ("hmm.pi",self.pi) 
    print ("==================================================") 
           
   
  # 前向算法  
  def forwar(self, T, O, alpha, prob): 
    ''''' 
    T: 觀察序列的長度 
    O: 觀察序列 
    alpha: 運(yùn)算中用到的臨時(shí)數(shù)組 
    prob: 返回值所要求的概率 
    '''   
     
    # 初始化 
    for i in range(self.N): 
      alpha[0, i] = self.pi[i] * self.B[i, O[0]] 
 
    # 遞歸 
    for t in range(T-1): 
      for j in range(self.N): 
        sum = 0.0 
        for i in range(self.N): 
          sum += alpha[t, i] * self.A[i, j] 
        alpha[t+1, j] = sum * self.B[j, O[t+1]]     
     
    # 終止 
    sum = 0.0 
    for i in range(self.N): 
      sum += alpha[T-1, i] 
     
    prob[0] *= sum   
 
   
  # 帶修正的前向算法 
  def forwardWithScale(self, T, O, alpha, scale, prob): 
    scale[0] = 0.0 
     
    # 初始化 
    for i in range(self.N): 
      alpha[0, i] = self.pi[i] * self.B[i, O[0]] 
      scale[0] += alpha[0, i] 
       
    for i in range(self.N): 
      alpha[0, i] /= scale[0] 
     
    # 遞歸 
    for t in range(T-1): 
      scale[t+1] = 0.0 
      for j in range(self.N): 
        sum = 0.0 
        for i in range(self.N): 
          sum += alpha[t, i] * self.A[i, j] 
         
        alpha[t+1, j] = sum * self.B[j, O[t+1]] 
        scale[t+1] += alpha[t+1, j] 
       
      for j in range(self.N): 
        alpha[t+1, j] /= scale[t+1] 
      
    # 終止 
    for t in range(T): 
      prob[0] += np.log(scale[t])     
       
       
  def back(self, T, O, beta, prob):  
    ''''' 
    T: 觀察序列的長度  len(O) 
    O: 觀察序列 
    beta: 計(jì)算時(shí)用到的臨時(shí)數(shù)組 
    prob: 返回值；所要求的概率 
    '''  
     
    # 初始化         
    for i in range(self.N): 
      beta[T-1, i] = 1.0 
     
    # 遞歸 
    for t in range(T-2, -1, -1): # 從T-2開始遞減；即T-2, T-3, T-4, ..., 0 
      for i in range(self.N): 
        sum = 0.0 
        for j in range(self.N): 
          sum += self.A[i, j] * self.B[j, O[t+1]] * beta[t+1, j] 
         
        beta[t, i] = sum 
     
    # 終止 
    sum = 0.0 
    for i in range(self.N): 
      sum += self.pi[i]*self.B[i,O[0]]*beta[0,i] 
     
    prob[0] = sum   
     
     
  # 帶修正的后向算法 
  def backwardWithScale(self, T, O, beta, scale): 
    ''''' 
    T: 觀察序列的長度 len(O) 
    O: 觀察序列 
    beta: 計(jì)算時(shí)用到的臨時(shí)數(shù)組 
    ''' 
    # 初始化 
    for i in range(self.N): 
      beta[T-1, i] = 1.0 
     
    # 遞歸         
    for t in range(T-2, -1, -1): 
      for i in range(self.N): 
        sum = 0.0 
        for j in range(self.N): 
          sum += self.A[i, j] * self.B[j, O[t+1]] * beta[t+1, j] 
         
        beta[t, i] = sum / scale[t+1]     
         
   
  # viterbi算法       
  def viterbi(self, O): 
    ''''' 
    O: 觀察序列 
    ''' 
    T = len(O) 
    # 初始化 
    delta = np.zeros((T, self.N), np.float) 
    phi = np.zeros((T, self.N), np.float) 
    I = np.zeros(T) 
     
    for i in range(self.N): 
      delta[0, i] = self.pi[i] * self.B[i, O[0]] 
      phi[0, i] = 0.0 
     
    # 遞歸 
    for t in range(1, T): 
      for i in range(self.N): 
        delta[t, i] = self.B[i, O[t]] * np.array([delta[t-1, j] * self.A[j, i] for j in range(self.N)] ).max() 
        phi = np.array([delta[t-1, j] * self.A[j, i] for j in range(self.N)]).argmax() 
       
    # 終止 
    prob = delta[T-1, :].max() 
    I[T-1] = delta[T-1, :].argmax() 
     
    for t in range(T-2, -1, -1): 
      I[t] = phi[I[t+1]] 
       
     
    return prob, I 
   
   
  # 計(jì)算gamma(計(jì)算A所需的分母；詳情見李航的統(tǒng)計(jì)學(xué)習(xí)) : 時(shí)刻t時(shí)馬爾可夫鏈處于狀態(tài)Si的概率 
  def computeGamma(self, T, alpha, beta, gamma): 
    '''''''' 
    for t in range(T): 
      for i in range(self.N): 
        sum = 0.0 
        for j in range(self.N): 
          sum += alpha[t, j] * beta[t, j] 
         
        gamma[t, i] = (alpha[t, i] * beta[t, i]) / sum   
   
  # 計(jì)算sai(i,j)(計(jì)算A所需的分子) 為給定訓(xùn)練序列O和模型lambda時(shí) 
  def computeXi(self, T, O, alpha, beta, Xi): 
     
    for t in range(T-1): 
      sum = 0.0 
      for i in range(self.N): 
        for j in range(self.N): 
          Xi[t, i, j] = alpha[t, i] * self.A[i, j] * self.B[j, O[t+1]] * beta[t+1, j] 
          sum += Xi[t, i, j] 
       
      for i in range(self.N): 
        for j in range(self.N): 
          Xi[t, i, j] /= sum 
   
   
  # 輸入 L個(gè)觀察序列O，初始模型：HMM={A,B,pi,N,M} 
  def BaumWelch(self, L, T, O, alpha, beta, gamma):                   
    DELTA = 0.01 ; round = 0 ; flag = 1 ; probf = [0.0] 
    delta = 0.0; probprev = 0.0 ; ratio = 0.0 ; deltaprev = 10e-70 
     
    xi = np.zeros((T, self.N, self.N)) # 計(jì)算A的分子 
    pi = np.zeros((T), np.float)  # 狀態(tài)初始化概率 
     
    denominatorA = np.zeros((self.N), np.float) # 輔助計(jì)算A的分母的變量 
    denominatorB = np.zeros((self.N), np.float) 
    numeratorA = np.zeros((self.N, self.N), np.float)  # 輔助計(jì)算A的分子的變量 
    numeratorB = np.zeros((self.N, self.M), np.float)  # 針對輸出觀察概率矩陣 
    scale = np.zeros((T), np.float) 
     
    while True: 
      probf[0] =0 
       
      # E_step 
      for l in range(L): 
        self.forwardWithScale(T, O[l], alpha, scale, probf) 
        self.backwardWithScale(T, O[l], beta, scale) 
        self.computeGamma(T, alpha, beta, gamma)  # (t, i) 
        self.computeXi(T, O[l], alpha, beta, xi)  #(t, i, j) 
         
        for i in range(self.N): 
          pi[i] += gamma[0, i] 
          for t in range(T-1): 
            denominatorA[i] += gamma[t, i] 
            denominatorB[i] += gamma[t, i] 
          denominatorB[i] += gamma[T-1, i] 
         
          for j in range(self.N): 
            for t in range(T-1): 
              numeratorA[i, j] += xi[t, i, j] 
             
          for k in range(self.M): # M為觀察狀態(tài)取值個(gè)數(shù) 
            for t in range(T): 
              if O[l][t] == k: 
                numeratorB[i, k] += gamma[t, i]   
                 
       
      # M_step。 計(jì)算pi, A, B 
      for i in range(self.N): # 這個(gè)for循環(huán)也可以放到for l in range(L)里面 
        self.pi[i] = 0.001 / self.N + 0.999 * pi[i] / L 
         
        for j in range(self.N): 
          self.A[i, j] = 0.001 / self.N + 0.999 * numeratorA[i, j] / denominatorA[i]           
          numeratorA[i, j] = 0.0 
         
        for k in range(self.M): 
          self.B[i, k] = 0.001 / self.N + 0.999 * numeratorB[i, k] / denominatorB[i] 
          numeratorB[i, k] = 0.0   
         
        #重置 
        pi[i] = denominatorA[i] = denominatorB[i] = 0.0 
         
      if flag == 1: 
        flag = 0 
        probprev = probf[0] 
        ratio = 1 
        continue 
       
      delta = probf[0] - probprev  
      ratio = delta / deltaprev   
      probprev = probf[0] 
      deltaprev = delta 
      round += 1 
       
      if ratio <= DELTA : 
        print('num iteration: ', round)   
        break 
     
 
if __name__ == '__main__': 
  print ("python my HMM") 
   
  # 初始的狀態(tài)概率矩陣pi；狀態(tài)轉(zhuǎn)移矩陣A；輸出觀察概率矩陣B; 觀察序列 
  pi = [0.5,0.5] 
  A = [[0.8125,0.1875],[0.2,0.8]] 
  B = [[0.875,0.125],[0.25,0.75]] 
  O = [ 
     [1,0,0,1,1,0,0,0,0], 
     [1,1,0,1,0,0,1,1,0], 
     [0,0,1,1,0,0,1,1,1] 
    ] 
  L = len(O) 
  T = len(O[0])  # T等于最長序列的長度就好了 
   
  hmm = HMM(A, B, pi) 
  alpha = np.zeros((T,hmm.N),np.float) 
  beta = np.zeros((T,hmm.N),np.float) 
  gamma = np.zeros((T,hmm.N),np.float) 
   
  # 訓(xùn)練 
  hmm.BaumWelch(L,T,O,alpha,beta,gamma) 
   
  # 輸出HMM參數(shù)信息 
  hmm.printHMM()